In his 2004 future history novel , science fiction writer Michael Crichton briefly introduces involution during a diatribe on media manipulation using statistical research (John Naisbitt's Megatrends, 1982). State of Fear
Crichton suggests implications for crafting more innovative scenarios about social engineering impacts on alternative futures (Harkins & Kubik StoryTech, 2004-2006).
These future thought leadership themes reinforce knowledge management insights introduced by Marshall McLuhan in 1967.
Note: Section 3: Current Reality Assessments (CRA) became our decision support framework for an Eco-Futures Forum (EFF) with Dick Saunders.
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View the Nov. 3, 2006 AIA SDAT presentation (PDF: 8.34 MB)
View the City of Lawrence SDAT application (PDF: 21.4 MB)
Learn more about Pathfinder Passports(cc) Agritourism/Geotourism Center just south of Lawrence |
Group Name | *# Members |
EFF-Pathfinder(cc) | Burkhart, Bob |
CPSR-GlobalBrain | Rydberg, Rog |
Adaptive management is a systematic approach for improving environmental management and
building knowledge by learning from management outcomes. Contrary to common belief,
adaptive management is much more than simply “adapting as you go.” It involves exploring
alternative ways to meet management objectives, predicting the outcomes of each alternative
based on the current state of knowledge, implementing one or more of these alternatives,
monitoring to learn which alternative best meets the management objectives (and testing
predictions), and then using these results to update knowledge and adjust management actions. 35
Adaptive management differs from traditional management approaches in that it allows
management activities to proceed despite uncertainty regarding how best to achieve desired
outcomes, and despite inevitable change and surprises.
Adaptive management approaches can also be applied to the management
of social, economic, cultural, political, and other effects of climate change